Author Archives: Lummidee

About Lummidee

Hello. Am Olumide Ilara. A young mother of 2. In my mid 30s …. Human Resources Specialist cum IT Consultant,who strives for quality, excellence, integrity & accountability. Living in Lagos, Nigeria...am full of life, humorous and contented.

My Disappearing Act – Jaw Wiring

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I know i promised i wont be far from this blog but guess what? Life drama has set in again. Pursuing my dreams and raising my kids has kept me busy.  Had to prepare for a professional exams which i have abandoned for sometime now. I just finished writing the exams and a lot of junk food went down during the preparation and as expected my tummy which has always been an extension of my body extended the more and people started greeting and pampering me like a ”preggie” again (yes, again, i experience that once in a while whenever i stop exercising and i stuff myself with all sorts of food). Then i made a drastic decision to have my jaw wired.

This is a decision have been ‘fiddling’ with for some time now. I didn’t think twice about it when i got to the exam hall and the invigilators were teasing me saying i have 4 babies in my tummy. How could i have responded that i have no baby in there. Who would even believe that? Not with that mass in my mid-region.

I went to the dentist the following day and had my jaw wired and have been on liquid diet. Taking smoothies, pap, juice e.t.c. It’s been 3 weeks exactly today and the result has been amazing, though it has its own pros and cons. At first i was feeling dizzy especially if am doing house chores. I have to rise up from the chair slowly else i will be dizzy. I believe i talk normally even though my colleagues said i talk differently , the most important is they understand me when i talk. That all that matters. I have to denounce my love for cold water . Straw became an important item in my bag/car. People has been on my case telling me the decision is a drastic one but i know these same set of people would tell me to do something about my protruding tummy had it been am still carrying the bulge around.  Now i can fit into my dresses  that i couldn’t before  and my girdle are now carrying out the function i got them for, my protruding tummy is no longer competing with the girdle.  I already lost 8kg and i plan to go for 4 weeks. I can’t exercise at this time because it’s dangerous exercising without eating. My round cheek has gone down. Have to gaggle with warm water and salt 6 times daily, though have not been frequent with this.

People have been teasing me with food they know i won’t be able to eat. My sister offered me corn the other day. I knew it was intentional because she knows have been cheating. I eat beans made into paste and i will suck it in. i also blend oat into powdery form and suck it. My boss will imitate me by talking to me with his teeth clenched together. One of my boss had his birthday and we went to a Chinese restaurant but i couldn’t eat. I imagined myself with my teeth opened.

This is what i call my disappearing act  because am feeling like am gradually disappearing and am cool with it. I really hope i will make it through the remaining 1 week not that am craving for food but i want to start exercising.

I will be posting updates and probably pictures as i progress in my disappearing act.

 

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Petrol cars will vanish in 8 years, says US report from Stanford economist

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Petrol cars will vanish in 8 years, says US report from Stanford economist

” A Tesla Model S, which has 18 moving parts, one hundred times fewer than a combustion engine car. “Maintenance is essentially zero,” says Stanford University economist Tony Seba. “That is why Tesla is offering infinite-mile warranties. You can drive it to the moon and back and they will still warranty it.”

No more petrol or diesel cars, buses, or trucks will be sold anywhere in the world within eight years. The entire market for land transport will switch to electrification, leading to a collapse of oil prices and the demise of the petroleum industry as we have known it for a century.

This is the futuristic forecast by Stanford University economist Tony Seba. The professor’s report, with the deceptively bland title Rethinking Transportation 2020-2030, has gone viral in green circles and is causing spasms of anxiety in the established industries.

Mr Seba’s premise is that people will stop driving altogether. They will switch en masse to self-drive electric vehicles (EVs) that are 10 times cheaper to run than fossil-based cars, with a near-zero marginal cost of fuel and an expected lifespan of 1 million miles (1.6 million kilometres).

Only nostalgics will cling to the old habit of car ownership. The rest will adapt to vehicles on demand. It will become harder to find a petrol station, spares, or anybody to fix the 2000 moving parts that bedevil the internal combustion engine. Dealers will disappear by 2024.

Cities will ban human drivers once the data confirms how dangerous they can be behind a wheel. This will spread to suburbs, and then beyond. There will be a “mass stranding of existing vehicles”. The value of second-hard cars will plunge. You will have to pay to dispose of your old vehicle.

It is a twin “death spiral” for big oil and big autos, with ugly implications for some big companies on the London Stock Exchange unless they adapt in time.

The long-term price of crude will fall to $US25 a barrel. Most forms of shale and deep-water drilling will no longer be viable. Assets will be stranded. Scotland will forfeit any North Sea bonanza. Russia, Saudi Arabia, Nigeria, and Venezuela will be in trouble.

It is an existential threat to Ford, General Motors, and the German car industry. They will face a choice between manufacturing EVs in a brutal low-profit market, or reinventing themselves a self-drive service companies, variants of Uber and Lyft.

They are in the wrong business. The next generation of cars will be “computers on wheels”. Google, Apple, and Foxconn have the disruptive edge, and are going in for the kill. Silicon Valley is where the auto action is, not Detroit, Wolfsburg, or Toyota City.

The shift, according to Mr Seba, is driven by technology, not climate policies. Market forces are bringing it about with a speed and ferocity that governments could never hope to achieve.

“We are on the cusp of one of the fastest, deepest, most consequential disruptions of transportation in history,” Mr Seba said. “Internal combustion engine vehicles will enter a vicious cycle of increasing costs.”

The “tipping point” will arrive over the next two to three years as EV battery ranges surpass 200 miles and electric car prices in the US drop to $US30,000 ($40,600). By 2022, the low-end models will be down to $US20,000. After that, the avalanche will sweep all before it.

“What the cost curve says is that by 2025 all new vehicles will be electric, all new buses, all new cars, all new tractors, all new vans, anything that moves on wheels will be electric, globally,” Mr Seba said.

“Global oil demand will peak at 100 million barrels per day by 2020, dropping to 70 million by 2030.” There will be oil demand for use in the chemical industries, and for aviation, though Nasa and Boeing are working on hybrid-electric aircraft for short-haul passenger flights.

Mr Seba said the residual stock of fossil-based vehicles will take time to clear, but 95 per cent of the miles driven by 2030 in the US will be in autonomous EVs for reasons of costs, convenience, and efficiency. Oil use for road transport will crash from 8 million barrels a day to 1 million.

Insurance costs to fall by 90 per cent

The cost per mile for EVs will be 6.8 cents, rendering petrol cars obsolete. Insurance costs will fall by 90 per cent. The average American household will save $US5600 per year by making the switch. The US government will lose $50 billion a year in fuel taxes. Britain’s exchequer will be hit at the same rate.

“Our research and modelling indicate that the $10 trillion annual revenues in the existing vehicle and oil supply chains will shrink dramatically,” Mr Seba said.

“Certain high-cost countries, companies, and fields will see their oil production entirely wiped out. Exxon-Mobil, Shell and BP could see 40 per cent to 50 per cent of their assets become stranded,” the report said.

These are all large claims, though familiar those on the cutting edge of energy technology. While the professor’s timing may be off by a few years, there is little doubt about the general direction.

India is drawing up plans to phase out all petrol and diesel cars by 2032, leap-frogging China in an electrification race across Asia. The brains trust of Prime Minister Narendra Modi has called for a mix of subsidies, car-pooling, and caps on fossil-based cars. The goal is to cut pollution and break reliance on imported oil, but markets will pick up the baton quickly once the process starts.

China is moving in parallel, pushing for 7 million electric vehicles by 2025, enforced by a minimum quota for “new energy” vehicles that shifts the burden for the switch onto manufacturers. “The trend is irreversible,” said Wang Chuanfu, head of the Chinese electric car producer BYD, backed by Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway.

At the same time, global shipping rules are clamping down on dirty high-sulphur oil used in the cargo trade, a move that may lead to widespread use of liquefied natural gas for ship fuel.

This is all happening much faster than Saudi Arabia and Opec had assumed. The cartel’s World Oil Outlook last year dismissed electric vehicles as a fringe curiosity that would make little difference to ever-rising global demand for oil.

It predicted a jump in crude consumption by a further 16.4 million barrels a day to 109 million by 2040, with India increasingly taking over from China as growing market. The cartel said fossils will still make up 77 per cent of global energy use, much like today. It implicitly treated the Paris agreement on climate targets as empty rhetoric.

Whether Opec believes its own claims is doubtful. Saudi Arabia’s actions suggest otherwise. The kingdom is hedging its bets by selling off chunks of the state oil giant Saudi Aramco to fund diversification away from oil.

Opec, Russia, and the oil-exporting states are now caught in a squeeze and will probably be forced to extend output caps into 2018 to stop prices falling. Shale fracking in the US is now so efficient, and rebounding so fast, that it may cap oil prices in a range of $US45 to $US55 until the end of the decade. By then the historic window will be closing.

Experts will argue over Mr Seba’s claims. His broad point is that multiple technological trends are combining in a perfect storm. The simplicity of the EV model is breath-taking. The Tesla S has 18 moving parts, one hundred times fewer than a combustion engine car. “Maintenance is essentially zero. That is why Tesla is offering infinite-mile warranties. You can drive it to the moon and back and they will still warranty it,” Mr Seba said.

Self-drive “vehicles on demand” will be running at much higher levels of daily use than today’s cars and will last for 500,000 to 1 million miles each.

It has long been known that EVs are four times more efficient than petrol or diesel cars, which lose 80 per cent of their power in heat. What changes the equation is the advent of EV models with the acceleration and performance of a Lamborghini costing five or 10 times less to buy, and at least 10 times less to run.

“The electric drive-train is so much more powerful. The gasoline and diesel cars cannot possibly compete,” Mr Seba said. The parallel is what happened to film cameras – and to Kodak – once digital rivals hit the market. It was swift and brutal. “You can’t compete with zero marginal costs,” he said.

The effect is not confined to cars. Trucks will switch in tandem. Over 70 per cent of US haulage routes are already within battery range, and batteries are getting better each year.

EVs will increase US electricity demand by 18 per cent, but that does not imply the need for more capacity. They will draw power at times of peak supply and release it during peak demand. They are themselves a storage reservoir, helping to smooth the effects of intermittent solar and wind, and to absorb excess base-load from power plants.

Mark Carney, the Governor of the Bank England and chairman of Basel’s Financial Stability Board, has repeatedly warned that fossil energy companies are booking assets that can never be burnt under the Paris agreement.

He pointed out last year that it took only a small shift in global demand for coal to bankrupt three of the four largest coal-mining companies in short order. Other seemingly entrenched sectors could be just as vulnerable. He warned of a “Minsky moment”, if we do not prepare in time, where the energy revolution moves so fast that it precipitates a global financial crisis.

The crunch may be coming even sooner than he thought. The Basel Board may have to add the car industry to the mix. There will be losers. Whole countries will spin into crisis. The world’s geopolitical order will be reshaped almost overnight. But humanity as a whole should enjoy an enormous welfare gain.

Medical Doctor Jumps Into Lagoon From 3rd Mainland Bridge

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Medical Doctor Jumps Into Lagoon From 3rd Mainland Bridge

A medical doctor, identified as Orji has jumped into the Lagos Lagoon from the Third Mainland Bridge.

LM gathered that the man, who was being driven by his driver in a Sports Utility Vehicle, SUV, was receiving a call when he suddenly asked his driver to stop.

The driver of the SUV was quoted as saying that the man asked him to stop, came out of the vehicle and jumped into the Lagoon on Third Mainland Bridge.

The incident occurred on the bridge between Adekunle and Adeniji on Third Mainland Bridge inward Lagos Island on Sunday evening.

LM gathered that policemen from Adeniji Police Station had taken the driver and the SUV to the police station.

Officials of the Lagos State Emergency Management Agency, LASEMA and the police are currently at the scene to retrieve the body of the victim.

Several calls made to the phone of the State’s Police Public Relations Officer, PPRO, Famous Cole were not picked.

However, LASTMA General Manager, Adesina Tiamiyu confirmed the incident, saying that the agency received a distress call of a man who parked his grey coloured Nissan SUV with registration number LND 476 EE at about 4.50 pm on Sunday, 19th March, 2017 around Adekunle, inward 3rd Mainland bridge and jumped into the Lagos Lagoon.

“Preliminary investigation at the scene revealed that the man, said to be medical doctor named Orji who was said to be driven by his driver and suddenly ordered the driver to pull over, dropped from the car and suddenly jumped into the water from the bridge.

“The vehicle and the driver have been taken to Adeniji Adele Police Station for further investigation, while effort is on going to recover his body from the Lagoon,” he said.

Tiamiyu said that proper investigation would be conducted on the incident by the appropriate authorities

Culled from PM News